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Polling accuracy

Oct 29, 2010

Makeup of electorate weighs heavy on polls

There's one stark difference in recent polls that will likely be the key to Tuesday's vote: the makeup of the electorate in each. The disparate top line results can almost solely be laid at the feet of this key difference.

Oct 15, 2010

KSTP/SurveyUSA poll: Dayton widens lead in MN governor’s race — but still within margin of error

The latest poll in the Minnesota governor's race shows DFL gubernatorial nominee Mark Dayton with a five point lead over GOP candidate Tom Emmer.

Oct 1, 2010

Paper Trail: Emmer campaign memo goes after MPR/Humphrey Institute gov poll

When the results of the latest Minnesota Public Radio and Humphrey Institute poll were released Wednesday, things didn't look good for GOP nominee Tom Emmer. In a response to the numbers, Emmer campaign manager Cullen Sheehan sent a detailed memo to supporters dissecting the poll.

Jul 26, 2010 pollster ratings: Who’s got the mojo, who does not

Nate Silver, the baseball/sabermetrics guru who brought a new level of sophistication to the analysis of political numbers when he launched in March 2008, posted a revised set of numbers on the most accurate political pollsters in the land last month -- and there are a few points of local interest.

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