For the many of you who think that there are too many lawyers pouring into the profession, here’s a small bit of good news: law school applicants’ foolish choices about whom they ask to recommend them are keeping some of them out.
According to a new Kaplan Test Prep and Admissions survey, 87 percent of law school admissions offices say they have received a negative “letter of recommendation” about an applicant. Fifteen percent say that such letters are their biggest application killers.
Of course, these days the negative recommender may actually be doing the person they intend to harm a favor by keeping him/her from a flooded lawyer job market. It’s the folks who get the positive recommendations (and therefore get in) who both create and suffer from the glut.
Here are a few other tidbits from the survey of 145 law school admissions officers:
— 56 percent predict an increase in applications this year, while only 6 percent predict a decrease — 25 percent predict application numbers to remain flat, while 13 percent were not sure;
— 75 percent say the lagging effects of the recession are responsible for the recent and predicted application increases; and
— 0 percent say they will guarantee that the students they admit will find meaningful work.
OK, the last one’s mine, not Kaplan’s, but that doesn’t stop it from being true.
If current trends continue, the number of lawyers will exceed the number of people by 2052, according to my own crack statistical analysis. Of course, this depends on my prediction that the ABA will start accrediting robot law schools in the year 2034.